Hedging under new NFA regulation: FIFO (first-in, first-out) ruleNFA Rule 2-43(b) Some traders have expressed concern that the rule will negatively impact their trading outside of the obvious limitation on hedging. The position of the author is, FIFO will add a layer of complexity but should not negatively impact a traders returns. The Multiple Strategy Trade (Trades in the same direction): Sample EUR/USD Trades: (Prices are hypothetical) Sample #1 – Pre FIFO Trade # 1 Long Term Strategy (Long Trade) Trade # 2 Short Term Strategy (Long Trade) In this example Trade #2 hits its stop before Trade #1 hits its limit. Prior to FIFO Trade # 2's stop at 1.4250 would be applied directly to Trade #2. Trade # 2 Net P/L is: Trade #1 goes on to hit its limit at 1.4500 Trade #1 Net P/L is: Total P/L from both positions is 113 Pips. Sample #2 – FIFO Trade # 1 Long Term Strategy (Long Trade) Trade # 2 Short Term Strategy (Long Trade) In this example, Trade #2 hits its stop before Trade #1 hits its limit. According to FIFO, Trade # 1 must now be closed out first. Trade #1 Net P/L is: Depending on how brokers handle the remaining stop and limit orders, this will effectively leave Trade #2 with its original Limit but Trade #1's Stop.* Trade #1's Limit could also be in limbo here. At this point, traders should now look at Trade #2 as a replacement for Trade #1 (Trade #1 became Trade #2 when Trade # 2's stop was hit). If Trade #2 is allowed to take the place of Trade #1 and hits its limit as in Sample #1 P/L is as follows. Trade #2 Net P/L is: Total P/L from both positions is 113 Pips. For this to work, traders MUST remove the original Trade #2 Limit of 1.4475, otherwise they will see Net Profit levels lower than the sum of the original (Pre-FIFO) trade setup. Once traders work through this sample a couple of times the application of switching trades will become obvious and the implementation should be relatively straight forward. * Please verify with your broker how stops will be handled on your platform. The new rule will effect OCO (one cancels other) and traders should not assume how remaining stops and limits will be applied. Application may vary from broker to broker. Duplicating the Hedge The NFA's position regarding hedging is that it provides no economic benefit; this is also the authors position. The new FIFO rule eliminates the ability of a trader to hedge positions, which has a secondary impact of preventing a trader to from using multiple strategies within the same account. Despite the limitations, traders can effectively duplicate a hedging strategy and or multiple strategies in a single account by simply getting neutral (no open positions) whenever their model would signal a hedge or new opposing position is required. In the samples below we review the impact of an open position on a hypothetical $100,000 account. Pips won or lost are assumed to be worth ten dollars per pip. The initial position is assumed to be a Long EUR/USD entry, no adjustment for transactional impact (spread) is made. Sample #1 – Baseline: Trades are not hedged and the position is left open through the balance of the price action.
Sample #2 – Hedged: Trades are hedged towards the end of the price action sample.
Sample #3 – Neutral: Trades are closed out when a hedge or opposing position is required.
When a trader's model would signal the end of a hedge or opposing position, they would simply reenter the market at the current price. It should be noted that this approach does not induce higher transaction costs and may actually reduce roll-over impacts that tend to favor the broker. by John Putman II FXstreet.com Any alternative option for traders who want to continue hedging with NFA regulated broker? Yes, it requires opening 2 accounts with either the same broker or two different brokers. This way traders will be able to Sell currencies on one account and simultaneously Buy currencies on another, achieving same hedging effect. |
trader
July 18, 2009The NFA is a nasty regime imposing worthless regualtions on us. They can F-off and leave us alone as far as I'm concerned. They are simply trying to get rid of forex traders so that the futires traders know where all the actual volume is.
trader
December 15, 2009Pointless regulation that is sending me to search for brokers that do allow hedging. I will be doing business with non NFA regulated brokerage houses.
trader
December 31, 2009For those of you MT4 users who don't know it yet: The new MetaTrader 5 platform allows only one position on a specific currency pair and it's a complete NFA FIFO compliant. The MT5 will always close oldest trades first - multi-positions strategies will be no longer possible. This is not acceptable for me and even though I got used to MT4 and it's custom indicators and helpers I wrote myself, I will have to move to a broker who offers a platform, where I can manage my trades as I need. Even my russian broker which is not NFA regulated will switch to MT5 soon and force me to either accept the completely ridiculous FIFO rule or find a broker who allows multi-position trading without FIFO. If other countries on the world adopt similar regulations, then Im out of the business because I will not be able to freely decide what and when to buy or sell. Which is not a regulation but a violation of the very basic principles of trade.
trader
February 28, 2010What all experienced Forex traders know is that constantly having to exit and re-enter trades in the same direction is costly, both in terms of spread loss and commission. (And if you're not paying commission, but using a spread profit i.e. "bookie" broker, you're not an experienced trader.) The above analysis doesn't take into account spreads or commissions. The NFA rules now make your cost of trading higher. Say there's a nice long trend, and you're in with Trade#1. But you spot a potential turn. If you just keep your long trade it, and hedge short, and your hedge stops out, then your long positions just continues. That's just two trades. With the new rules, there would be 3 trades. Addtionally, you have spread loss now, for the additional re-entry trade. In summary, the NFA FIFO rule assumes an ideal trading model, where there are no commissions and spreads, and that isn't the real world of trading. Commissions and spreads KILL YOUR PROFIT if you have to enter/exit/re-enter good trades.
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